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Note: Independent Identically Distributed

We introduce an abbreviation i.i.d. which stands for Independent Identically Distributed.

Definition: Sample Mean

Given a sequence $X_1, X_2, … $ of i.i.d. random variables with mean $\mu $ and variance $\sigma^2 $. Let $S_n = X_1 + … + X_n $ be the sum of the first $n $ of them.

Sample mean $M_n $ is defined as follows

$$M_n = \frac{ X_1, X_2, …, X_n }{ n } = \frac{ S_n }{ n }$$

And it follows that

$$E[M_n] = \mu, var(M_n) = \frac{ \sigma^2 }{ n } $$

Note

Notice that the variance of $M_n $ decreases to zero as $n $ increases, and the bulk of the distribution of $M_n $ must be very close to the mean $\mu $.

Definition: Central Limit Theorem

Given a sequence $X_1, X_2, … $ of i.i.d. random variables with mean $\mu $ and variance $\sigma^2 $. Let $S_n = X_1 + … + X_n $ be the sum of the first $n $ of them.

We consider a random variable $Z_n $.

$$Z_n = \frac{ S_n - n \mu }{ \sigma \sqrt[ ]{ n }} $$

It can be seen that

$$\forall n, E[Z_n] = 0, var(Z_n) = 1$$

As $n $ grows, its distribution neither spreads, nor shrinks to a point.

The central limit theorem is concerned with the asymptotic shape of the distribution of $Z_n $ and asserts that it becomes the standard normal distribution.

Limit theorems are useful for several reasons:

  1. Conceptually providing an interpretation of expectations in terms of a long sequence of identical independent experiments.

  2. They allow for an approximation analysis of the properties of random variables such as $S_n $. This is to be contrasted with an exact analysis which would require a formula for the PMF or PDF of $S_n $, a complicated and tedious task when $n $ is large.

  3. They play a major role in inference and statistics in the presence of large data set.